Dealing with uncertainty in environmental model predictions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Evaluating Approaches to Dealing with Uncertainty in Environmental Assessment
Uncertainty of environmental impacts is a major factor limiting the effectiveness of environmental assessment (EA) and is likely to increase in importance with the introduction of mandatory Strategic EA in the EU. A synthesis and evaluation of approaches to dealing with uncertainty was found to be lacking in the literature. Approaches to dealing with uncertainty in EA were identified from liter...
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The problem of uncertainty has plagued environmental regulation from the beginning. The common practice in the U.S. is to ignore or deny the existence of uncertainty, or to apply arbitrary numerical "fudge factors," then to proceed as if everything were known with a high degree of certainty. For example, a deadly amount of a chemical may be determined for mice; then a fudge factor of 100 or 100...
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material presented is the result of a collaborative research task, drawing upon studies performed by participants in IEA-ETSAP/Annex VI and guided by the ETSAP Executive Committee. The views and opinions expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of Governments of any IEA member state, or any agency, contractor or subcontractor thereof; nor those of the International Energy Agency.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union
سال: 2001
ISSN: 0096-3941
DOI: 10.1029/01eo00334